Sunday, May 27, 2007

Looking for Another Candidate?

It looks like journalists are already tired of covering Hillary/Obama and Rudy McRomney. I've seen recent articles on wannabes Richardson and Huckabee, Michael Bloomberg, Chuck Hagel, Bloomberg/Hagel, Bloomberg/Gore, and Big Al himself.

But none of these seem likely.

The best bets for more candidates in the party primaries are Fred Thompson and Newt Gingrich announcing in the fall, pushing Mitt Romney (already old news) back into fifth place, and posing a threat to McCain. I would bet that Newt is the bigger threat because he's the more orthodox conservative, but I'll exercise some MSM even-handedness and mention that Thompson does have his Reaganesque acting career going for him.

The most significant threat for a meaningful third party candidacy won't come from Richardson or Chuck Hagel. It will come from the right-wing of the Republican Party if either Giuliani or McCain get the nomination. The disgust with Giuliani and McCain on the right is so intense that some entrepreneurial politician will be there to take up the conservative cause.

Maybe Newt will see an opportunity in an independent candidacy as "the real conservative."

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