Today's Rassmussen and ARG polling has McCain only 2-3 points ahead in Indiana. My understanding is that Obama is running strong in the Indianapolis area with McCain leading in the rest of the state. But the fact that Obama is running so well means that Indiana is like Virginia and Colorado in being a red state now turning purple.
But the Republicans are doomed for a long time if Obama wins Indiana. Indiana would be the last of the New England, Mid-Atlantic, and Midwestern states to go Democratic. Indiana going Democratic would have a significant symbolic resonance in that it would tend to make the Republican Party a regional party of the South and rural areas.
Sarah Palin posed herself as the candidate of small town America. It might not be that long before small towns, farm areas, and the old Confederacy might be all the America the Republicans have left.
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