Friday, August 01, 2008

The Obama Bump is Really Over

Today, the Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls have Obama and McCain tied and Obama up by 1 respectively.

That means that the Obama overseas bump from last weekend is officially over.

But it also means something else.

Given that the tracking polls are three night surveys, the fact that Obama and McCain are tied today means that McCain pulled ahead in Gallup for at least one night and the same might be the case for Rasmussen.

McCain hasn't been ahead in the tracking pollls for sometime. If he moves ahead tomorrow and stays ahead, that could shake up the expectation that Obama is going to win the election.


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