Yesterday, a Washington Post/ABC poll came out with Hillary at 53% and Obama at 20%. Most of the time, political candidates consider it to be really good news if they make that kind of big leap in the polls.
But I think 53% is more Trojan horse than gift horse for the Hillary campaign.
Of course, the Post/ABC poll might be an outlying poll. Hillary might still actually be in the low 40's. That's still a very strong lead even if it's not overwhelming.
If the numbers are real, they might be a sign that Hillary is peaking too soon. That's especially because Hillary's going to become more of a target for negative media coverage and right-wing smears the farther ahead she gets.
If Democrats start listening to the negativity, the numbers will go back down.
Being so far ahead also creates the likelihood of complacency, decreasing creativity, and lower energies as candidates and their staffs sit on their huge leads.
That can also bring the numbers back down.
Even worse, a huge lead in the Democratic primaries means that Hillary might not fully prepared for everything the Republicans are going to throw at her in the general election. Obama's failure to fight now means that Hillary's not going to be in fighting trim next July.
Given the stakes in the 2008 presidentiail election, that's very unfortunate.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Posts
9 comments:
I'll be stuck voting for her, but I really can't believe her numbers will drop that much for the General. Everyone who already hates her, already does. They can't significant numbers to the "hate Hillary" bandwagon. Hell, Hannity's been trying for months and the best he has come with is "she has a horrible laugh."
Sounds like a great reason to pick a President if you ask me, but then again Hannity still rhetorically fellates the President on a regular basis, so his judgment is a little suspect.
Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is the best-qualified of all candidates on both sides of the aisle.
Hillary has spent her entire life advocating for women. She has done everything she can to make that principle come true. And, specifically on issues, She got to vote to raise the minimum wage. She put in legislation which said that Congress should not get a salary increase until they did raise the minimum wage.
They just don't give two squirts of piss for anyone whose income is less than $250 million because we're paying for it and will for years. Earh predates us and will stand long after we're gone.
I would rather vote for Edwards or Obama or, even, Richardson than her, BUT come November of 2008 I will gladly pull the lever for her.
You won't be sorry Tim. You won't be sorry at all when she liberates us from the yoke of the last 6 years.
President Hillary Rodham Clinton will heal a lot of what ails us. She will be able to unite Democrats as no one has since her husband or FDR. As I stated above, she will address issues like another increase in the minimum wage. She has said that she will fight for legislation forbidding members of Congress from giving themselves raises until they raise the minimum wage.
The woman has been a pioneer in child advocacy, education reform, and health care reform first in Arkansas, then The White House, and now in the Senate.
She has demanded and fought for a timeline regarding the safe redeployment of our troops out of Iraq as well as a renewed focus on capturing and bringing to justice, Osama Bin Laden. She knows foreign policy. When she was First Lady and for the past six years as a US Senator, she has visited 70 or 80 countries. She met with officials Muslim countries including Iraq, Afghanistan, Kuwait, and Pakistan just to name a few. I mention those specifically since that whole region is a powder keg and it is an American President, GW Bush who has been lighting the fuses over there. His mess, she'll clean it up.
She intends to end the Iraq war but she is not so naive as to believe that moving our people out of there will be a quick easy task. She seems to get that mass evacuation of the troops would also mean mass evacuation of the civilians inside the Green Zone They must be protected. She understands that military experts know how to run a military and they have said that we can probably move a brigade or two a month in relative safety.
Health care reform that has a real shot at passage, ending the war and occupation, education reform, jobs. She'll do an excellent job.
She can unite the country once again around common goals. And not only will she have a big impact of The Founders injunction to be ever moving toward a "more perfect union," she will inspire others to do the same. Cleaning up and protecting our environment, building schools, encouraging peace. She is very capable of restoring our since of that which we should be proud about our country and, as John Edwards says (of himself), she will remind us all over again that there is much more to be patriotic about besides war.
With Hillary Rodham Clinton we will get a President who sets a course for social and economic justice, who sets a course for peace, who sets a course for that ever-evolving "more perfect union" and never stops believing that we can always do better but that The United States of America has always been, and always will be a work in progress, never a finished product.
So feel good about Hillary Tim. You'll be glad you did.
I have no doubt that she can unite the Democrats. That should not be too tough of a chore, as they are fairly united right now. Uniting the country? Unlikely, since she is one of the most divisive personalities in politics.
Um, Todd, I hate to point this out to you, but your Joan of Arc voted for the war.
Have a little faith. Just as your Messiah GW Bush said that the United States is not in the business of "Nation-bulding", now he trumpets the very dubious "sucess" of the progress he wants us to believe we have made helping them to build a democracy.
Hillary must be afforded the opportunity to have a change of heart. And keep in mind, she and the rest of the House and the Senate were denied vital information before that vote. I realize your first duty here is to disagree with me or anyone else on the left but bear with me.) She has also stated that if she had been President when the decision was officially made, she would not have started this war.
Take it as you will. It is the truth. She took a calculated risk with the original vote. She made a mistake. She's human. And she is one of 100. She didn't do it alone.
She has some serious fucking friends, too:
http://tinyurl.com/yoj3ms
The mere idea that it was a "calculated risk" and had political considerations is precisely why the Dems have the image of being less than serious when it comes to defense issues.
Post a Comment