Saturday, January 20, 2007

The Players are on the Field

The players are now on the field for an unusual Democratic presidential nomination race.

Sen. Hillary Clinton announced today that she is forming a presidential exploratory committee. Unlike Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton is not exploring anthing. She's running and forming an exploratory committee is the first step in her campaign. Unusually for the Democrats, Hillary Clinton is the heir apparent and a clear front runner with high expectations of winning the presidency. Although her popularity is generally ignored by the mainstream media, Hillary Clinton is a genuinely popular politician who can speak with authority on any issue. She is also the first woman candidate who starts her campaign for the presidential nomination as the favorite.

I know this is just one more reason for people to think I'm totally uncool, but I favor Hillary in the election. Because the Bush administration has screwed things up so royally, being president between 2008 and 2016 is going to be unbelievably tough. Hillary can succeed as president because she's been through tough times in the White House, knows public policy inside and out, and has credibility on both domestic and foreign policy issues. I also like that Hillary is willing to call out the right-wing every once in a while. Hillary still has to prove that she has what it takes to get the country behind her in a crisis, but she'll have plenty of chances to prove that during the primary season. Of all the candidates in the Democratic and Republican Parties, Hillary is the most qualified by temperament, policy preferences, and experience to be president.

Although Hillary Clinton is the favorite, Barack Obama is going to be a strong challenger. Although inexperienced, Obama has a lot of positive buzz for his inspirational abilities. People like him a lot and he's the favorite of both Mrs. RSI and our daughter Katy. Like Hillary Clinton, Obama is a genuine political heavyweight and whoever wins the Democratic nomination is going to have to run a strong campaign. Certainly, there will be moments of negative campaigning, but I believe that the competition will benefit both candidates.

If either of the two leading candidates falters or proves to be a poor campaigner, John Edwards will take on the role of challenger. Edwards is nationally known, has some experience with Presidential political campaigns, and has positioned himself well for the Iowa caucuses. If he wants to have a real chance however, he has to hope that Hillary or Obama is a disappointment.

The other candidates all hope they can catch fire, but have little chance. Joe Biden, Dennis Kucinich, Bill Richardson, and John Kerry all have their virtues, but none of them has much hope of breaking into the first tier.

Let the games begin.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

I can't help but compare Barack Obama to Howard Dean. Obviously Senator Obama is a much more eloquent speaker than Dean, but, they have both experienced a meteoric rise within the Democratic party. Similarly they both are seen as serious threats to the "favored" Democratic nominee. John Kerry ultimately took the nomination when Dean proved to be able to finish the marathon that is a primary campaign, so, I'm left wondering if perhaps Barack Obama will perform in a similar fashion himself.

Ric Caric said...

It's a vald comparison and Obama is going to be vetted for controversial comments. But Obama is more of a media creature than Howard Dean. So, I think he'll do better even though I don't think he'll beat Clinton. Comparing Obama to John Edwards in 2004 is also useful.

Anonymous said...

So will we be talking about Huge Chavez's racist comments to whites in class tomorrow???

"Go to hell, gringos! Go home!"

Jeremy H.

Ric Caric said...

I'm not sure that Hugo Chavez is a political theory topic. It's kind of interesting that someone would be focused on Hugo Chavez rather than the racism in their own back yard though.

Anonymous said...

If presented with racism in my own back yard I would condemn it. I wasn't as much focused on Chavez, I found it in a news story.

JH

Ric Caric said...

How was Chavez being racist? In the U. S., white racism expresses a sense of racial superiority over other races, uses many stereotypes to express that superiority, and refers back to times of segregation and slavery when whites exercised direct control over the black population. I have a hard time seein Chavez' comment as being analogous to white racism in the U. S. at all.